Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.151776 0.173110 0.197106 0.226241 0.260847 0.300874 0.351017
2025-07-13 0.119263 0.147347 0.182257 0.229470 0.292630 0.375636 0.495413
2025-07-20 0.100279 0.131345 0.172943 0.234077 0.324018 0.455497 0.670212
2025-07-27 0.087455 0.119895 0.165969 0.238420 0.353869 0.538989 0.877210
2025-08-03 0.078553 0.111878 0.161625 0.244571 0.386455 0.634072 1.137523
2025-08-10 0.070765 0.104029 0.155801 0.246556 0.411728 0.722802 1.421604
2025-08-17 0.064265 0.097091 0.150074 0.247165 0.434055 0.811783 1.745543
2025-08-24 0.058551 0.090580 0.143944 0.245659 0.451613 0.895938 2.099484
2025-08-31 0.053413 0.084350 0.137349 0.241951 0.463640 0.971527 2.472077
2025-09-07 0.050396 0.081336 0.135925 0.247786 0.496987 1.107550 3.101763
2025-09-14 0.046410 0.076170 0.129897 0.243290 0.506173 1.186498 3.604401
2025-09-21 0.043703 0.072999 0.127180 0.245180 0.530763 1.315712 4.386207
2025-09-28 0.040649 0.068948 0.122408 0.242127 0.543299 1.418129 5.165815
2025-10-05 0.038700 0.066778 0.121099 0.246656 0.576900 1.600530 6.498381
2025-10-12 0.037008 0.064924 0.120192 0.251968 0.614285 1.814061 8.267787
2025-10-19 0.035424 0.063118 0.119159 0.256799 0.651866 2.048689 10.528223
2025-10-26 0.034132 0.061766 0.118918 0.263560 0.697455 2.340782 13.730830
2025-11-02 0.032590 0.059760 0.117017 0.265741 0.729533 2.598104 17.266466
2025-11-09 0.031070 0.057665 0.114687 0.266410 0.757102 2.854663 21.502074
2025-11-16 0.029519 0.055379 0.111680 0.264759 0.776483 3.087216 26.249565
2025-11-23 0.027943 0.052913 0.108011 0.260695 0.786330 3.280588 31.271953
2025-11-30 0.027132 0.052030 0.107976 0.267092 0.837597 3.741003 42.243928
2025-12-07 0.025720 0.049724 0.104298 0.262163 0.843547 3.944731 50.201737